PERANG PROKSI KONTEMPORER ARAB SAUDI-IRAN SEBAGAI BENTUK TURBULENSI TIMUR TENGAH: SEBUAH ANALISIS GEOPOLITIK

Alfin Febrian Basundoro

Abstract

Kondisi Timur Tengah pada dasawarsa terakhir diwarnai dengan aneka konflik bersenjata. Ratusan ribu warga sipil menjadi korban, sementara belum ada tanda-tanda konflik mencapai fase akhir. Berbagai usaha perdamaian pun majal, menjadi indikasi adanya adu kepentingan yang telah mengakar kuat di kawasan ini. Arab Saudi dan Iran menjadi dua aktor kunci dalam turbulensi di Timur Tengah dalam dasawarsa terakhir. Keduanya berada dalam posisi permainan kekuatan demi memenuhi kepentingan masing-masing di kawasan, dengan melakukan perang proksi. Kondisi ini ditengarai menjadi casus belli sejumlah konflik di Timur Tengah—yang dalam perkembangannya juga melibatkan negara-negara sekutu masing-masing. Meskipun begitu, pada hakikatnya, persaingan politik antara Arab Saudi dan Iran telah berlangsung sejak lebih dari tiga dasawarsa, yang dalam beberapa waktu terakhir mengalami peningkatan. Tulisan ini berusaha untuk menganalisis perang proksi tersebut dengan sudut pandang studi geopolitik dan geostrategi. Fokus dari tulisan ini adalah strategi masing-masing negara dalam mempertahankan kepentingan masing-masing di kawasan sekaligus menjadi penyebab turbulensi di Timur Tengah. Tulisan ini pula percaya bahwa kedua belah pihak menjadi aktor utama perimbangan kekuatan (balance of power) dalam rangka mencapai hegemoni regional.

Kata kunci: Arab Saudi, Iran, hegemoni regional, perang proksi


Keywords

Arab Saudi, Iran, hegemoni regional, perang proksi

Full Text:

PDF

References

Amin, Abu. “Crisis in Yemen and Countering Violence.†Counter Terrorist Trends and Analyses 7, no. 7 (2015): 18–22

Benjamin, Medea. Inside Iran: The Real History and Politics of the Islamic Republic of Iran, 189–192. New York; London: OR Books, 2018.

Brito, Dagobert, dan Amy Myers Jaffe. “Reducing Vulnerability of the Strait of Hormuz.†Getting Ready For a Nuclear-Ready Iran. Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College, 2005, https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep12040.12.

Cafiero, Giorgio dan Cinzia Miotto. “Kuwaiti-Iranian Relations: The Energy Angle,†29 September 2016., https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menasource/kuwaiti-iranian-relations-the-energy-angle/, diakses pada 6 April 2020.

Clark, William R. Petrodollar Warfare: Oil, Iraq and the Future of the Dollar. New Society Publishers, 2005.

Darwich, May. “The Saudi Intervention in Yemen: Struggling for Status.†Insight Turkey 20, no. 2 (2018): 125–42.

Eisenstadt, Michael. “Russian Arms and Technology Transfers to Iran: Policy Challenges for the United States. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy.â€

https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/russian-arms-and-technology-transfers-to-iran-policy-challenges-for-the-uni, diakses pada 20 Maret 2020.

Ekşi, Muharrem. “Regional Hegemony Quests in the Middle East from the Balance of Power System to the Balance of Proxy Wars: Turkey as Balancing Power for the Iran-Saudi Rivalry.†Gazi Akademik Bakış, 14 Desember 2017, 133–56. https://doi.org/10.19060/gav.379597.

Elbagir, Nima, Salma Abdelaziz, Ryan Browne, Barbara Arvanitidis, dan Laura Smith-Spark. “Bomb that Killed 40 Children in Yemen was Supplied by US.†CNN.

https://www.cnn.com/2018/08/17/middleeast/us-saudi-yemen-bus-strike-intl/index.html, diakses pada 6 April 2020.

Gady, Franz-Stefans. “Iran and Russia Negotiating $10 Billion Arms Deal – The Diplomat.â€,

https://thediplomat.com/2016/11/iran-and-russia-negotiating-10-billion-arms-deal/, diakses pada 20 Maret 2020.

Gause, F. Gregory. “The Future of U.S.-Saudi Relations: The Kingdom and the Power.†Foreign Affairs 95, no. 4 (2016): 114–26.

Geranmayeh, Ellie, dan Kadri Liik. “The New Power Couple: Russia and Iran in the Middle East.†European Council on Foreign Relations, 2016. JSTOR. https://doi.org/10.2307/resrep21586.

Gould, Joe. “US Senate Allows Arms Sales to Saudi Arabia, Sustaining Trump Vetoes.†Defense News, 30 Juli 2019.

https://www.defensenews.com/congress/2019/07/29/us-senate-allows-arms-sales-to-saudi-arabia-sustaining-trump-vetoes/, diakses pada 6 April 2020.

IAEA. “Verification and Monitoring in the Islamic Republic of Iran in Light of United Nations Security Council Resolution 2231 (2015).†Vienna: International Atomic Energy Agency, 3 November 2020.

https://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/20/03/gov2020-5.pdf.

International Institute of Strategic Studies. The Military Balance. London: Routledge, 2019.

“International-U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).â€. https://www.eia.gov/international/data/world/petroleum-and-other-liquids/annual-petroleum-and-other-liquids production?pd=5&p=0000000000000000000000000000000000vg&u=0&f=A&v=mapbubble&a=&i=none&vo=value&&t=C&g=00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001&l=249ruvvvvvfvtvnvv1vrvvvvfvvvvvvfvvvou20evvvvvvvvvvvvvvs&s=63072000000&e=1483228800000, diakses pada 9 Maret 2020.

Juneau, Thomas. “Iran’s Policy Towards the Houthis in Yemen: A Limited Return on a Modest Investment.†International Affairs 92 (1 Mei 2016): 647–63. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2346.12599.

Kearney, Laila. “Oil Jumps Nearly 15% in Record Trading After Attack on Saudi Facilities.†16 September 2019.,

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil-idUSKBN1W00UG, diakses pada 7 Maret 2020.

Litvak, Meir. “Iran and Saudi Arabia: Religious and Strategic Rivalry.†Saudi Arabia, the Gulf, and the New Regional Landscape: Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies, 2017. JSTOR. https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep04754.10

Malakoutikhah, Zeynab. “Iran: Sponsoring or Combating Terrorism?†Studies in Conflict & Terrorism 6, no. 7 (10 September 2018): 1–27. https://doi.org/10.1080/1057610X.2018.1506560.

Mearsheimer, John J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (Updated Edition). New York: W. W. Norton & Company, 2003.

Meyer, Henry. “Russia Rejects Extending Iran Arms Embargo, Defying U.S. - Bloomberg.â€

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-27/russia-rejects-extending-iran-arms-embargo-defies-u-s-pressure, diakses pada 20 Maret 2020.

Ottaway, David. “The King and Us: U.S.-Saudi Relations in the Wake of 9/11.†Foreign Affairs 88, no. 3 (2009): 121–31.

Parker, Claire, “Analysis: Iran Has Invested in Allies and Proxies Across the Middle East. Here’s Where They Stand After Soleimani’s Death.†Washington Post..

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2020/01/03/iran-has-invested-allies-proxies-across-middle-east-heres-where-they-stand-after-soleimanis-death/, diakses pada 7 Maret 2020.

Perry, Tom. “Syrian Army Source: Rebels Make Heavy Use of TOW Missiles.†Reuters, 25 November 2015.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-arms-idUSKBN0TE1KJ20151125, diakses pada 21 Maret 2020.

Raouf, Huda. “Iranian Quest for Regional Hegemony: Motivations, Strategies and Constrains,†Review of Economics and Political Science 4, no. 3 (1 Januari 2019): 242–56, hlm. 244– 245, https://doi.org/10.1108/REPS-02-2019-0017.

RT International. “Russia Confirms Sale of S-400 Missile Systems to Saudi Arabia.â€

https://www.rt.com/business/406116-russia-saudi-arabia-s400-delivery/, diakses pada 24 Maret 2020.

Saab, Bilal Y. “Iran’s Tactics and Capabilities.†Beyond the Proxy Powder Keg: Middle East Journal 5 no 1 (2018): 26-31. JSTOR. https://doi.org/10.2307/resrep19957.14.

———. “Saudi Arabia’s Military Strategy.†Beyond the Proxy Powder Keg: Middle East Journal 6 no 1 (2018): 17-21. JSTOR. https://doi.org/10.2307/resrep19957.10.

Said, Summer, Jared Malsin, dan Jessica Donati. “U.S. Blames Iran for Attack on Saudi Oil Facilities - WSJ.â€.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/drone-strikes-spark-fires-at-saudi-oil-facilities-11568443375, diakses pada 9 Maret 2020.

Sampathkumar, Mythili, “Donald Trump to Announce $350bn Arms Deal with Saudi Arabia–One of the Largest in History (17 May 2017)â€. The Independent.,

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-saudi-arabia-arms-deal-sale-arab-nato-gulf-states-a7741836.html, diakses pada 19 Maret 2020.

Schubert, Julia. Hegemonic Stability Theory: The Rise and Fall of the US-Leadership in World Economic Relations. Munich: GRIN Verlag, 2004.

Spillius, Alex. “Wikileaks: Saudis ‘Chief Funders of Al-Qaeda',†5 Desember 2010, bag. World.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/wikileaks/8182847/Wikileaks-Saudis-chief-funders-of-al-Qaeda.html, diakses pada 19 Maret 2020.

U.S. Energy Information administration. “U.S. Imports from Saudi Arabia of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products (Thousand Barrels per Day).â€. https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mttimussa2&f=m, diakses pada 19 Maret 2020.

U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), “International: Petroleum and Other Liquids,†,

https://www.eia.gov/international/data/world/petroleum-and-other- liquids/annual-petroleum-and-other-liquids- production?pd=5&p=0000000000000000000000000000000000vg&u=0&f=A&v=mapbu bble&a=- &i=none&vo=value&&t=C&g=0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 0001&l=249- ruvvvvvfvtvnvv1vrvvvvfvvvvvvfvvvou20evvvvvvvvvvvvvvs&s=63072000000&e=1483 228800000, diakses pada 9 Maret 2020.

Wallin, Matthew. “U.S. Military Bases and Facilities in the Middle East.†American Security Project, Juni 2018. https://www.americansecurityproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/Ref-0213-US-Military-Bases-and-Facilities-Middle-East.pdf.

Walsh, Declan, dan Eric Schmitt. “Arms Sales to Saudis Leave American Fingerprints on Yemen’s Carnage.†The New York Times, 25 Desember 2018, bag. World. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/25/world/middleeast/yemen-us-saudi-civilian- war.html, diakses pada 6 April 2020.

Waltz, Kenneth N. Theory of International Politics. Menlo Park: Addison-Wesley, 1979.

Webb, Amanda. “The Istanbul Cooperation Initiative at 15,†16 Desember 2019. https://www.nato.int/docu/review/articles/2019/12/16/the-istanbul-cooperation-initiative-at-15/index.html, diakses pada 19 Maret 2020.

Young, William, David Stebbins, Bryan A. Frederick, dan Omar Al-Shahery. “Spillover of the Syrian Conflict into Turkey.†Dalam Spillover from the Conflict in Syria, 15–24. An Assessment of the Factors that Aid and Impede the Spread of Violence. Boston: RAND Corporation, 2014. https://www.jstor.org/stable/10.7249/j.ctt1287mhx.10.

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.