Amidst China’s Assertiveness and Indonesia’s Domestic Bureaucratic Politics: The Trajectory of Indonesia’s Response to the South China Sea Dispute under Yudhoyono and Jokowi

Gaffar Muaqaffi, Kevin Ali Sesarianto

Abstract

This article explains how China's increased assertiveness in recent decades and the bureaucratic politics inside Indonesian government institutions have impacted Indonesia's response to the South China Sea dispute. Different from what others have found, this article will not discuss whether Indonesia's response is proper in dealing with China's assertiveness or vice versa. Instead, by applying the theory of Neoclassical Realism which incorporates the variables of external pressure and domestic politics, this article aspires to compare Indonesia's response under the leadership of Yudhoyono and Jokowi. Conducting a comparative analysis serves as a means to encapsulate and comprehend the trajectory of Indonesia's responses to the South China Sea dispute. Moreover, employing a qualitative descriptive research methodology, this study revealed that the assertive stance of China and Indonesia’s bureaucratic politics have influenced variations in the extent to which Indonesia employs multilateral and unilateral strategies in its response during the leaderships of Yudhoyono and Jokowi. Based on these findings, this article also formulates a model explaining Indonesia’s response to the South China Sea dispute.

Keywords

China’s assertiveness; domestic bureaucratic politics; Indonesia; response; the South China Sea dispute

Full Text:

PDF

References

Allard, T., Lamb, K., & Da Costa, A. B. (2 January 2021). EXCLUSIVE China protested Indonesian drilling, military exercises. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/exclusive-china-protested-indonesian-drilling-military-exercises-2021-12-01/

Anwar, D. F. (2010). The Impact of Domestic and Asian Regional Changes on Indonesian Foreign Policy. In D. Singh (Ed.), Southeast Asian Affairs (pp. 126-141). ISEAS Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1355/9789814377720-010

Anwar, D. F. (2020). Indonesia and the ASEAN outlook on the Indo-Pacific. International Affairs, 96(1), 111-129. https://doi.org/10.1093/ia/iiz223

Aplianta, D. (2015). Indonesia's Response in the South China Sea Disputes: A comparative analysis of the Soeharto and the post-Soeharto era. Journal of ASEAN Studies, 3(1), 1-21.

https://doi.org/10.21512/jas.v3i1.749

Arbar, T. F. (2020). China Mulai Ngebor, Ini Fakta Harta Migas Laut China Selatan. https://www.cnbcindonesia.com/news/20201117131116-4-202414/china-mulai-ngebor-ini-fakta-harta-migas-laut-china-selatan

Arif, M. (2021). Balancing with Jokowi's Characteristics: A Neoclassical Realism Approach to Indonesia's Foreign and Security Policies in the South China Sea. Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, 8(3), 370-390. https://doi.org/10.1177/23477970211041455

ASEAN. (2022a). Agenda. https://aseanplusthree.asean.org/events-2/

ASEAN. (2022b). Calendar of Events. https://aseanregionalforum.asean.org/calendar-of-events/

ASEAN. (2022c). Past Meetings and Events (2006 - 2021). https://admm.asean.org/index.php/events/past-meetings-and-events.html

ASEAN. (2022d). Statements and Declarations. https://eastasiasummit.asean.org/eas-statements-and-declarations?page=1

Bisnis. (2020). "Benturan" KRI dan Kapal China Terjadi Lagi di Natuna Sabtu, 11 Januari 2020. https://kabar24.bisnis.com/read/20200112/15/1189223/benturan-kri-dan-kapal-china-terjadi-lagi-di-natuna-sabtu-11-januari-2020

Chang, F. K. (2012). China's Naval Rise and the South China Sea: An Operational Assessment. Orbis, 56(1), 19-38. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orbis.2011.10.002

CNN Indonesia. (2021). "Hantu" Kapal Riset China di Laut Natuna Utara. https://www.cnnindonesia.com/nasional/20211104195746-20-716820/hantu-kapal-riset-china-di-laut-natuna-utara

Connelly, A. L. (2016). Indonesia in the South China Sea: Going it alone. In Lowy Institute. Sydney.

CSIS. (2021). Are Maritime Law Enforcement Forces Destabilizing Asia? https://csis-ilab.github.io/cpower-viz/csis-china-sea/

Darlis, A. M. (2021). Catatan dari Garuda Shield 2021. https://mediaindonesia.com/opini/426285/catatan-dari-garuda-shield-2021

Darmawan, A. B. (2018). Perubahan Perilaku Politik Luar Negeri Tiongkok terhadap Isu Laut Tiongkok Selatan. Jurnal Sosial Politik, 4(2), 84.

https://doi.org/10.22219/sospol.v4i2.6220

Detik. (2017). Nama Laut Natuna Utara Diprotes China, Susi: Itu Wilayah Kita. R https://news.detik.com/berita/d-3564021/nama-laut-natuna-utara-diprotes-china-susi-itu-wilayah-kita

Dosch, J. (2006). The Impact of Democratization on the Making of Foreign Policy in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines Zur Verfügung gestellt in Kooperation mit / provided in cooperation with: GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies. Southeast Asian Affairs, 25(5), 42-70. www.ssoar.info

DW. (2016). TNI AL Tangkap Lagi Kapal Pukat Cina. https://www.dw.com/id/tni-al-tangkap-kapal-pukat-cina-dengan-tembakan-peringatan/a-19295377

Farneubun, P. K. (2018). Explaining Yudhoyono's decision to develop a strategic partnership with China. 129(Icsps 2017), 332-337.

https://doi.org/10.2991/icsps-17.2018.70

Farneubun, P. K. (2021). Indonesia-China Strategic Partnership: Role of Vision, Bureaucratic Actors and Domestic Political Change. 135-157.

https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-59054-3_7

Fionna, U., Negara, S. D., & Simandjuntak, D. (2019). Aspirations with Limitations: Indonesia's Foreign Affairs under Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono. Aspirations with Limitations, 1-13.

https://doi.org/10.1355/9789814786973-002

Gindarsah, I. (2012). Democracy and foreign policy-making in Indonesia: A case study of the Iranian nuclear issue, 2007-08. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 34(3), 416-437.

https://doi.org/10.1355/cs34-3e

Halim. (2016). Jokowi urged to ease tensions over Natuna. https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2016/03/29/jokowi-urged-ease-tensions-over-natuna.html

He, K. (2008). Indonesia's foreign policy after Soeharto: International pressure, democratization, and policy change. International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, 8(1), 47-72.

https://doi.org/10.1093/irap/lcm021

Indo-Pacific Defense Forum. (2021). U.S., Indonesia building maritime training base in Batam. https://ipdefenseforum.com/2021/07/u-s-indonesia-building-maritime-training-base-in-batam/

Indonesia Update. (2017). 2017 Indonesia Update. Globalisation, Nationalism and Sovereignty. https://youtu.be/HB2OFQ3mLNs?si=v5hh-BHnQxMVMyim

Johnston, A. I. (2013). How New and Assertive is China's New Assertiveness? International Security, 37(4), 7-48.

https://doi.org/10.1162/ISEC_a_00115

Kipgen, N. (2018). Asean and China in the South China sea disputes. Asian Affairs, 49(3), 433-448.

https://doi.org/10.1080/03068374.2018.1487691

Kompas. (2021). Kapal Perang China Mondar-mandir di Laut Natuna Utara, Nelayan Ketakutan. https://www.kompas.id/baca/nusantara/2021/09/15/kapal-perang-china-mondar-mandir-di-laut-natuna-utara-nelayan-ketakutan

Laksmana, E. A. (2016). The domestic politics of Indonesia's approach to the Tribunal ruling and the South China sea. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 38(3), 382-388.

Laksmana, E. A. (2019). Drifting towards Dynamic Equilibrium: Indonesia's South China Sea Policy under Yudhoyono. In U. Fionna, D. Negara, & D. Simandjuntak (Eds.), Aspirations with Limitations: Indonesia's Foreign Affairs under Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (pp. 153-175).

https://doi.org/10.1355/9789814786973-009

Lim, G., Li, C., & Syailendra, E. A. (2021). Why is it so hard to push Chinese railway projects in Southeast Asia? The role of domestic politics in Malaysia and Indonesia. World Development, 138(May 2018), 105272.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105272

McRae, D. (2019). Indonesia's South China Sea Diplomacy: A Foreign Policy Illiberal Turn? Journal of Contemporary Asia, 49(5), 759-779.

https://doi.org/10.1080/00472336.2019.1601240

Moeldoko. (2014). China's Dismaying New Claims in the South China Sea. https://www.wsj.com/articles/moeldoko-chinas-dismaying-new-claims-in-the-south-china-sea-1398382003

Mogato, M., Martina, M., & Blanchard, B. (2016). ASEAN deadlocked on South China Sea, Cambodia blocks statement. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-ruling-asean-idUSKCN1050F6

Muhibat, S. F. (2018). Nationalism, sovereignty and foreign policy: Indonesia and the disputes over the South China Sea. In A. A. Patunru, M. Pangestu, & M. C. Basri (Eds.), Indonesia in the New World (pp. 52-70). Singapore: ISEAS Publishing.

https://doi.org/10.1355/9789814818230-009

Murphy, A. M. (2014). The end of strategic ambiguity: Indonesia formally announces its dispute with China in the South China Sea. PacNet, (26).

Nabbs-Keller, G. (2013). Reforming indonesias foreign ministry: Ideas, organization and leadership. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 35(1), 56-82.

https://doi.org/10.1355/cs35-1c

Nabbs-Keller, G. (2014). Is Indonesia shifting its South China Sea policy? https://www.lowyinstitute.org/the-interpreter/indonesia-shifting-its-south-china-sea-policy

Rakhmat, M. Z. (2022). Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway: Looking at the roles of Luhut, Rini Soemarno and Ridwan Kamil in securing China-Indonesia relationship. https://theconversation.com/jakarta-bandung-high-speed-railway-looking-at-the-roles-of-luhut-rini-soemarno-and-ridwan-kamil-in-securing-china-indonesia-relationship-181716

Rose, G. (1998). Neoclassical Realism and Theories of Foreign Policy. World Politics, 51, 144-172.

https://doi.org/10.1057/9780230226203.3160

Rosyidin, M. (2017). Foreign policy in changing global politics: Indonesia's foreign policy and the quest for major power status in the asian century. South East Asia Research, 25(2), 1-17.

https://doi.org/10.1177/0967828X17706570

Salim, W., & Negara, S. D. (2016). Why is the High-Speed Rail Project so Important to Indonesia. ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute, (16), 1-10. https://iseas.edu.sg/images/pdf/ISEAS_Perspective_2016_16.pdf

Sambijantoro, S. (2015). AIIB may take major role in RI projects. https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2015/04/29/aiib-may-take-major-role-ri-projects.html

Sari, A. C. (2021). Continuity in Indonesia's Strategy in the South China Sea Under Joko Widodo. Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, 8(3), 1-24.

https://doi.org/10.1177/23477970211039310

Schweller, R. L. (2004). Unanswered Threats: A Neoclassical Realist Theory of Underbalancing. 29(2), 159-201.

https://doi.org/10.1162/0162288042879913

Sebastian, L. C., & Chen, J. (2021). Indonesia's Foreign and Maritime Policies Under Joko Widodo: Domestic and External Determinants. Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, 8(3), 287-303.

https://doi.org/10.1177/23477970211039639

Setkab. (2017). Saksikan Latgab PPRC, Presiden Jokowi: TNI Sangat Siap Mempertahankan NKRI. https://setkab.go.id/saksikan-latgab-pprc-presiden-jokowi-tni-sangat-siap-mempertahankan-nkri/

Sinaga, L. C. (2016). China's Assertive Foreign Policy in South China Sea Under Xi Jinping: Its Impact on United States and Australian Foreign Policy. JAS (Journal of ASEAN Studies), 3(2), 133.

https://doi.org/10.21512/jas.v3i2.770

Sindonews. (2016). TNI AL Tangkap Kapal China, Ini Komentar Luhut. https://nasional.okezone.com/read/2016/05/29/337/1400822/tni-al-tangkap-kapal-china-ini-komentar-luhut

Sukma, R. (2017). Indonesia's Security Outlook , Defence Policy and Regional Cooperation. Policy, 5(1), 3-24. http://researcharchive.vuw.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/10063/6784/thesis_access.pdf?sequence=1%0Ahttps://www.rsis.edu.sg/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/PR150409_Indonesias-Maritime-Doctrine.pdf%0Ahttp://ijil.ui.ac.id/index.php/home/article/view/697%0Ahttp://dx.doi

Suryadinata, L. (2017). What Does Indonesia' s Renaming of Part of the South China Sea Signify? Yusof Ishak Institute Perspective, (64), 1-6. https://iseas.edu.sg/images/pdf/ISEAS_Perspective_2017_64.pdf

Swaine, M. D. (2010). Perceptions of an Assertive China. China Leadership Monitor, 32, 1-19. http://www.hoover.org/publications/china-leadership-monitor/by-date

Syailendra, E. A. (2017). A nonbalancing act: Explaining Indonesia's failure to balance against the Chinese threat. Asian Security, 13(3), 237-255.

https://doi.org/10.1080/14799855.2017.1365489

Thi Ha, H. (2021). ASEAN Navigates between Indo-Pacific Polemics and Potentials. ISEAS Perspective, 20 April, (49), 1-10. Retrieved from https://www.iseas.edu.sg/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/ISEAS_Perspective_2021_49.pdf

Ulya, F. N., & Djumena, E. (2020). Ditanya Netizen Alasan Tak Dipilih Lagi Jadi Menteri, Ini Jawaban Susi Pudjiastuti. Retrieved December 31, 2023, from https://money.kompas.com/read/2020/04/23/150643726/ditanya-netizen-alasan-tak-dipilih-lagi-jadi-menteri-ini-jawaban-susi#google_vignette

Weatherbee, D. E. (2016a). Re-Assessing Indonesia's Role in the South China Sea. Per, 2(2016), 1-13.

https://doi.org/10.54755/defendonesia.v2i2.62

Weatherbee, D. E. (2016b). Understanding Jokowi's Foreign Policy. In Trends in Southeast Asia. Singapore: ISEAS Publishing.

https://doi.org/10.1355/9789814762601

Wenas Inkiriwang, F. (2021). Multilateral Naval Exercise Komodo: Enhancing Indonesia's Multilateral Defence Diplomacy? Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, 40(3), 418-435.

https://doi.org/10.1177/18681034211008905

Wiecławski, J. (2017). Neoclassical Realism and the Crisis of the Realist Paradigm in Contemporary International Relations. Myśl Ekonomiczna i Polityczna, (August).

Wirajuda, M. H. (2014). The Impact of Democratisation on Indonesia's Foreign Policy: Regional Cooperation, Promotion of Political Values, and Conflict Management. (August), 1-205. http://etheses.lse.ac.uk/992/1/Wirajuda_Impact_of_Democratisation_on_Indonesias_Foreign_Policy.pdf

Yahuda, M. (2013). China ' s New Assertiveness in the South China Sea. Journal of Contemporary China, 22(81), 446-459.

https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2012.748964

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.